Will a US Department of Energy high performance computing cluster be used to train a foundation model of more than 500B or more by January 1st 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ30Feb 16
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Inactive creator; extended the close date for continued trading. This seems easy enough to resolve as moderators if / when required.
@RossGruetzemacher If this is a mistake I apologize; we can re-close it.
Related questions
Related questions
100GW AI training run before 2031?
46% chance
$1T AI training cluster before 2031?
73% chance
$100B AI training cluster before 2029?
69% chance
Will the US implement a policy for rapid shutdown of large compute clusters and training runs by 2028?
26% chance
Will a lab train a >=1e26 FLOP state space model before the end of 2025?
22% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1B model by 2025?
67% chance
1GW AI training run before 2027?
46% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
41% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2025?
72% chance
Will the largest machine learning training run (in FLOP) as of the end of 2030 be in the United States?
74% chance