This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that requires the implementation of rapid shutdown mechanisms for large compute clusters and training runs. These mechanisms could include non-networked power cutoff switches for large compute clusters or remote shutdown systems on chips, with the goal of enabling swift response in emergency situations.

Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.