Conditional on Kamala Harris winning Michigan, will she win Arizona?
Plus
14
Ṁ1376Dec 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If this market resolves YES, this market resolves N/A.
If this market resolves NO and this market resolves NO, this market resolves YES.
If this market resolves NO and this market resolves YES, this market resolves NO.
If the above markets resolve some way other than YES or NO, this market resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris flip a state?
50% chance
Will Kamala Harris win at least one state won by Donald Trump in 2020?
49% chance
Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump flip a state?
26% chance
Kamala Harris wins a non-swing Trump state?
20% chance
If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania but loses Arizona, will she win the election?
84% chance
Will Kamala Harris win all four states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia in the 2024 election?
44% chance
Will Kamala Harris win all six swing states?
15% chance
Will Kamala Harris win more states than Biden in the election? There are 50 states. Excluding DC and territories.
Will Kamala Harris come within 5 points of winning Alaska? (or win)
47% chance
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?
50% chance