
Will Kamala Harris come within 5 points of winning Alaska? (or win)
12
100Ṁ272resolved Nov 18
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A recent reputable presidential election poll of Alaska showed Donald Trump ahead of Kamala Harris by only 5 points with likely voters, garnering much online attention, including from Nate Silver.
This market resolves YES if Kamala Harris comes within 5 points or less of winning Alaska in the 2024 Presidential Election — matching or beating the results of this poll. A victory of any amount for Kamala Harris would resolve YES too. 5.50% or lower will be considered within 5 points, while 5.51% or higher will not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ43 | |
2 | Ṁ22 | |
3 | Ṁ14 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |