Will Kamala Harris come within 5 points of winning Alaska? (or win)
12
100Ṁ272
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
NO

A recent reputable presidential election poll of Alaska showed Donald Trump ahead of Kamala Harris by only 5 points with likely voters, garnering much online attention, including from Nate Silver.

This market resolves YES if Kamala Harris comes within 5 points or less of winning Alaska in the 2024 Presidential Election — matching or beating the results of this poll. A victory of any amount for Kamala Harris would resolve YES too. 5.50% or lower will be considered within 5 points, while 5.51% or higher will not.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ43
2Ṁ22
3Ṁ14
4Ṁ8
5Ṁ3
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy