If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania but loses Arizona, will she win the election? | Manifold

If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania but loses Arizona, will she win the election?

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resolved Nov 15

Resolved

N/A

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6H

1D

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Resolves N/A if she loses PA or wins AZ.

Context: The latest NYT/Siena poll:

The 538 "what-if" forecast with Blue PA and Red AZ currently predicts Harris wins 68% of the time in this scenario:

Market context

2024 US Presidential Election

Democratic Party

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@Joshua I think you want to N/A this 🙂

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