Will I come to believe that Eliezer Yudkowsky is substantially wrong about AGI being an X-risk?
9
190Ṁ430
resolved May 6
Resolved
NO

"Substantially wrong" does not include merely being wrong about timing. If I come to believe that, yes, AGI is still an X-risk, but we will have more time before we might all die than Eliezer thinks, this does not count as a substantive disagreement for the purposes of this market.

This is in the "Change My Mind" group - so feel free to debate me in the comments.

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