I reserve the right to bet in this market.

To resolve as YES, Trump must call for Zohran Mamdani's deportation by the end of 2025.

Caveats:
1. Trump does NOT need to explicitly say the words "Zohran Mamdani should be deported" or words of similar import to resolve as YES. Something like "We should probably look into that" in response to a reporter asking whether Mamdani should be deported is sufficient to resolve as YES. White House social media saying things of similar import will also resolve to YES.

2. However, it is NOT sufficient for Trump to merely suggest that Mamdani is here illegally. Starting a birther controversy or similar on its own will NOT be enough to resolve as YES. On the other hand, beginning denaturalization proceedings or similar will be enough to resolve as YES.

3. Moreover, it is NOT sufficient for Trump to merely call for Mamdani's arrest or detention.

• Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve to YES if the Trump administration deports Zohran Mamdani, even without a preceding public call for it.

• Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For an ambiguous statement like "We should look into that" to resolve the market to YES, the context must make it clear that "that" refers to deportation.

  • A statement about looking into allegations of being in the country illegally, without reference to deportation, is not sufficient.