Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate? | Manifold

Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate?

10

30

Ṁ376

Ṁ210

2050

80%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional on humans not getting extinct. If the answer can't be determined due to a large amount of humans being in an ambiguous state, this resolves to N/A.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will there be 9.7 billion humans living on Earth in 2050?

Will any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?

Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?

Sort by:

Can you clarify what this question is actually asking? It's unclear, at least to me

predicts YES

@JoshuaWilkes I believe it’s primarily a question about brain emulation

predicts NO

Will any humans born in 2023 exist in 2050? By 2035 the life expectancy will be 10 and the adult death rate will be 90% a year.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

Related questions

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

-6% 1d74% chance

By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will there be 9.7 billion humans living on Earth in 2050?

Will any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?

Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?

-6% 1d35% chance

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?

Related questions

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?

By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Will there be 9.7 billion humans living on Earth in 2050?

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?

Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?