Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate? | Manifold

Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate?

Plus

11

Ṁ488

2050

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional on humans not getting extinct. If the answer can't be determined due to a large amount of humans being in an ambiguous state, this resolves to N/A.

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Can you clarify what this question is actually asking? It's unclear, at least to me

predicts YES

@JoshuaWilkes I believe it’s primarily a question about brain emulation

predicts NO

Will any humans born in 2023 exist in 2050? By 2035 the life expectancy will be 10 and the adult death rate will be 90% a year.

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