Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate? | Manifold

Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate?

Plus

11

Ṁ488

2050

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional on humans not getting extinct. If the answer can't be determined due to a large amount of humans being in an ambiguous state, this resolves to N/A.

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Can you clarify what this question is actually asking? It's unclear, at least to me

predictedYES

@JoshuaWilkes I believe it’s primarily a question about brain emulation

predictedNO

Will any humans born in 2023 exist in 2050? By 2035 the life expectancy will be 10 and the adult death rate will be 90% a year.

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