Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
27
154
1k
2030
46%
chance

Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.

Different number of robots:

/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86

/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215

/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-c55c48255552

/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-027d2adb7b87

/RemNi/will-50k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-3e64f6f470dc

/RemNi/will-100k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa-d473dc54730d

/RemNi/will-200k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa-c5274fc882b4

/RemNi/will-500k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa

/RemNi/will-1-million-humanoid-robots-be-m (this question)

/RemNi/will-2m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-77a8d2eb7b1c

Different years:

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-a408a64f3756

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact

/RemNi/will-1-million-humanoid-robots-be-m (this question)

/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0f2acadab75f

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-04a4cc646b5b

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-b852297a6f2a

Other reference points for manufacture of 1M humanoid robots:

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-5272497e9ab8

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-1m-humanoid

Other questions for 2030:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2030

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-f0c1a341f8ea

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-59822776e416

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-217e4b895daa

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem-35fc023d619f

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor

/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-d5d68a482594

These humanoid robots must meet specific criteria to be counted towards this total. Each robot must be bipedal, walking upright on two legs in a manner that broadly resembles human walking. Additionally, each robot must be equipped with hands capable of manipulating objects. The hands should have fingers or similar appendages, allowing them to grip, hold, and interact with various items. Each robot must be capable of autonomous function without external power for a duration of at least 1 hour in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Each robot must be between 1.25 and 3 meters tall when standing up, and weigh between 25 and 500 kg. Furthermore, each robot must be able to lift a 10kg box off the floor and walk with it for 10 meters in order to qualify.

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Quite interesting this sheet showing the humanoid bots players milestones.

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