Prop Bets: 2026 Chess Tata Steel Wijk Aan Zee Masters
4
275Ṁ197
Jan 30
70%
Will the tournament have a decisive result without needing blitz playoffs?
66%
Will someone from Asia (India/China/Uzbek) win the tournament?
63%
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov finish higher than Javokhir Sindarov?
60%
Will any player win 3 or more games in a row?
50%
Will this year’s tournament winner be someone who has won Tata Steel Masters before?
50%
Will this year’s tournament winner be someone who is the World Champion (Gukesh) or has qualified to the 2026 Candidates?
50%
Will any player lose 3 or more games in a row?
40%
Will there be fewer than 50% draws across the whole tournament? (regular games only)
40%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju finish in the Top 3 of the Masters section?
26%
Will 14-year-old Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus score 50% or more (6.5/13 points) in his Masters debut?
24%
Will Hans Niemann finish in the Top 3 of the Masters section?

Please note that all these Prop Bet Markets pertain ONLY to the Masters section (not the Challengers).

Official Standings: Resolution is based on the final official rankings provided by the Tata Steel Chess website.

  • Tie-breaks: * If multiple players finish with the same point total, the official tournament tie-break rules (including any blitz playoffs for 1st place) will determine the final ranking.

    Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tata_Steel_Chess_Tournament_2026

    The Masters field includes defending champion R Praggnanandhaa and Thai Dai Van Nguyen, the winner of the Tata Steel Challengers 2025. Tie-breaks follow official tournament rules, including blitz playoffs for 1st place if needed.

    Background

    This is the youngest ever field of players in the annual Tata Steel chess tournament, with the oldest player, Anish Giri, being only 31 years old. The Masters line-up includes four players from the world's top 10 and ten from the top 30. Hans Niemann debuts in the Masters group in Wijk aan Zee. 14-year-old Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus is playing in the Masters—he became the 4th-youngest GM of all time in April 2024 and reached the Top 100 in classical rating at age 14, making him the 2nd-youngest player in history to do so.

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All: We need a tag to identify the "chess" questions that are not about personal improvement, or about Chess & AI. I've been using the tag "Grandmaster chess" for that. Please follow this tag if that is something that you typically make predictions on.

Thanks!

bought Ṁ10 NO

All: Be sure to make your predictions for https://manifold.markets/archvenison/who-will-win-the-masters-section-of-UysQR2pNCQ?r=UmFtX04 run by @archvenison

Who will win the Masters section of the 2026 Tata Steel Chess Tournament?
https://tatasteelchess.com/en/masters/latest If any player is replaced, I will edit their option to their replacement

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