Round 7 sole leader: Yes (had been decided after round 6)

A round with more black than white wins: Yes in round 6

@TomOqhPy
Round 1 English Opening: Agincourt Defense
Round 3 English Opening: Symmetrical, Three Knights
Round 6 English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
Is that sufficient?

@ChristopherRandles Yes!

The following markets should resolve to YES.

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"At least 7 different players will lose a game": See https://www.chess.com/events/2026-fide-candidates-open/results for standings. All the players bar Sindarov have lost a game.

"Will Anish Giri win a game during any round?": Giri beat Esipenko in Round 4 with the black pieces. See https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2026-open/round-4/97di6JjX/xbSQ7kmG.

"Will Hikaru fall below 2800 in live ratings at any moment during the 2026 Candidates?": After his loss to Sindarov in Round 5, Hikaru has dropped to a live rating of 2795.8 ELO. See 2700chess.com for live ratings.

"Will any player win 3 or more games in a row?": Sindarov has won in Rounds 3, 4, and 5. He's on an absolute tear.

"A checkmate occurs on the board": Caruana checkmated Bluebaum in Round 5. See https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2026-open/round-5/liBI9Brw/wuNBfSXX.

Will Bluebaum have 14 draws also resolves NO

@BURNTramenNoOdLeS don't resolve this one -- it may be mathematically possible for him to make several draws and tie for first and play a series of tiebreaks where he also draws.

@Ram_N Please see my prior comment. I believe that mathematically Bluebaum could tie for first if he wins three games and draws the rest, meaning he finishes the classical portion with ten total draws. Then it would go to tiebreak games: Two rapid, then if there's still a tie two blitz, then if there's still a tie some other stuff. So, still mathematically possible for Bluebaum to draw 14 games!

Furthermore, as we saw with Magnus and Ian at World Blitz, we can't even discount the possibility of the rules simply being changed by fiat mid-tournament in order to create a supposedly impossible set of games and results. Due to this I just don't think you should resolve an answer such as this one until the tournament is actually over.

@marvingardens Doesn't the question ask if Bluebaum will have 14 draws? The answer to that is no, he's already lost a game.
Am I missing something subtle?

@marvingardens I see. If that happens, I will unresolve it.

@Ram_N Why not let people continue trading?

To be clear, he can have 14 draws because he can tie for first with up to 10 draws, and then draw the 4+ tiebreak games that occur after that. So as-is this is a premature resolution, before taking into account any idea of the format changing.

@Ram_N they're just trolling. in the very low 1 in a million chance, bluebaum gets to tiebreakers and has 14 draws by the end of it, you can unresolve it and we can discuss whether that counts as YES resolution but just keep it resolved NO for now

@BURNTramenNoOdLeS i am literally not trolling. it's genuinely, according to the comment you just made, resolved before it's determined. why on earth is it better to leave it resolved and also leave the determination of criteria to after they've occurred. isn't that obviously worse

Why don't we just resolve it to Sindarov winning the candidates right now? Because it hasn't occurred yet.

Context: https://x.com/chess24com/status/2038275899066310985?s=20

@Weezing Does this (and similar questions) count loses in tiebreaks, or only in classical games? (I've been assuming only in classical games, but just realized it wasn't clear)

@Weezing Is this at the end of round 7, or any time after round 7?

@Weezing Does this include tiebreaks?

@TomOqhPy Round 1 had two d4 one e4 and one Nf3 so I assume this is enough to make d4 the most common first move in that round.

Just asking your opinion: With a loss in Rnd 1, is Hikaru done for?

@Ram_N nah

"Will any player reach the time-control (move 40) with less than a minute on their clock?" should resolve to YES.

The Round 1 game Sindarov vs Esipenko saw both players under a minute from moves 35-39.
https://www.chess.com/events/2026-fide-candidates-open/01/Sindarov_Javokhir-Esipenko_Andrey

A big tip of the hat to @RedzoneITG who seems to have a veritable inexhaustible supply of Prop questions!!

@Ram_N And to @Weezing and @BURNTramenNoOdLeS for all the creative markets they create