Will PornHub in the UK require age verification by July 2025?
Will PornHub in the UK require age verification by July 2025?
16
1kṀ1013Jul 1
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
All websites on which pornographic material can be found, including social media platforms, must introduce "robust" age-checking techniques such as demanding photo ID or running credit card checks for UK users by July.
The long-awaited guidance, issued by regulator Ofcom, has been made under the Online Safety Act (OSA), and is intended to prevent children from easily accessing pornography online.
If:
a) There is credible proof that attempting to access PornHub, from the UK, starting July 1st, requires an age-check
OR
b) PornHub blocks access to UK users, citing the this policy as the reason
then this resolves YES
Further info:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwye3qw7gv7o
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the new porn-site age verification laws (US) survive in court?
92% chance
Will Pornhub offer an option to generate AI porn videos on demand before 2027?
23% chance
Will YouTube begin restricting uploads by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will Pornhub unblocks access in Utah before the end of 2024?
3% chance
By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
80% chance
Will there be a porn ban before 2029?
10% chance
Will any state ban porn by 2030?
36% chance
Will AI-generated pornographic video become mainstream by 2026?
70% chance
Will Arizona HB 2112 (age verification) pass in 2025?
31% chance
Will porn be forbidden in 10 years?
7% chance