Will Pornhub be blocked in the UK on February 3rd?

Question

Resolution criteria

Pornhub's parent company Aylo announced on January 27, 2026 that it will restrict access to its platforms in the United Kingdom, effective February 2. The market resolves YES if Pornhub is blocked/inaccessible to new UK users on February 3rd, 2026. UK users who have already verified their identity will still be able to use their accounts, but new users will be unable to access the site. Resolution can be verified by attempting to access Pornhub from a UK IP address without a pre-existing verified account on February 3rd, or by checking news reports confirming the block has taken effect.

Background

Pornhub and other Aylo sites had complied with the UK's Online Safety Act (OSA), which mandated that websites with pornographic content verify the ages of visitors before showing them content that is inappropriate for minors. Instead of complying with OSA by verifying the ages of its users, Aylo will block access to platforms like Pornhub in the U.K. altogether. In October, Aylo said that traffic to Pornhub as a result of the updated legislation has fallen by 77 per cent. The same restrictions will apply to other porn sites owned by Aylo, including YouPorn and Redtube.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czr428rxg57o

Update 2026-01-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Workarounds and technical solutions that circumvent the block are not relevant for resolution. The market will resolve YES if Aylo has blocked access and this is credibly reported, regardless of whether some users can get around the block using technical workarounds.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 3, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.