Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ6.1kṀ16k

Dec 31

99%

Sarah Paine

59%

Nicholas Carlini

50%

Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

34%

Dean Ball

32%

Demis Hassabis

30%

Yann LeCun

29%

Tyler Cowen

28%

Dean Spears

26%

Alec Radford

25%

Jack Clark

25%

Amanda Askell

24%

Joscha Bach

23%

Sundar Pichai

23%

Gary Marcus

22%

Ian Morris

21%

Daniel Kokotajlo

20%

Satya Nadella

19%

Joe Henrich

19%

Scott Alexander

18%

Noam Brown

Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.

Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.

Dwarkesh Patel option note

Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025

Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?

Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?

5% chance

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?

13% chance

Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)

24% chance

Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?

17% chance

Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?

61% chance

Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?

14% chance

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Jose Luis Ricon by 2040?

61% chance

Sort by:

bought Ṁ938 YES

@RS Resolves YES https://youtu.be/OS1NZLgKM2c?si=_z41Dn2hBcBOI1yt

@JaySocrates uh this doesn’t appear in the podcast feed and was recorded in 2025

@MachiNi I didn't see that it wasn't on the feed yet and still isn't. Doesn't matter, all the other Sarah Paine lectures went up on the feed and I bet this will too. Every other resolution here has been on the release date, not the stated recording date.