Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
84
400Ṁ12k
Aug 20
28%
chance

For context, see this tweet.

Within the next few months, I'm going to be releasing an episode with by far my biggest guest yet.

If you're interesting in sponsoring it, shoot me an email at sponsor@dwarkeshpatel.com

Resolution

  • See: /DylanBowman/who-is-dwarkeshs-upcoming-biggest-g

  • Once that market resolves, I will close this one and run a poll for one week, using the [NAME] that it resolved to.

    • The phrasing will be something along the lines of "Do you agree that [NAME] is 'by far the biggest guest yet' on Dwarkesh's podcast?", with options "Agree" and "Disagree".

  • If "Agree" has the majority of votes, this market resolves YES.

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