Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ6.1kṀ22k

Dec 31

99%

Ajeya Cotra

90%

Noam Brown

41%

Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

36%

Nicholas Carlini

31%

Sarah Paine

28%

Alec Radford

26%

Dean Ball

26%

Dean Spears

25%

Satya Nadella

23%

Sundar Pichai

23%

Yann LeCun

23%

Daniel Kokotajlo

22%

Demis Hassabis

22%

Joscha Bach

21%

Gary Marcus

21%

Amanda Askell

20%

Scott Alexander

20%

Holden Karnofsky

20%

Michael Dell

20%

Jack Clark

Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.

Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.

Dwarkesh Patel option note

Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025

Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?

13% chance

Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?

5% chance

Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?

26% chance

Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?

61% chance

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Jose Luis Ricon by 2040?

61% chance

Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)

23% chance

Sort by:

bought Ṁ20 YES

@RS resolves yes I think?

bought Ṁ338 YES

@RS Resolves YES https://youtu.be/X50zezLFWWI?is=cWhu1e-g6jqUFYUp

bought Ṁ938 YES

@RS Resolves YES https://youtu.be/OS1NZLgKM2c?si=_z41Dn2hBcBOI1yt

@JaySocrates uh this doesn’t appear in the podcast feed and was recorded in 2025

@MachiNi I didn't see that it wasn't on the feed yet and still isn't. Doesn't matter, all the other Sarah Paine lectures went up on the feed and I bet this will too. Every other resolution here has been on the release date, not the stated recording date.