Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?
12
1.1kṀ3077
2028
34%
MrBeast
10%
Emmanuel Macron
10%
Robert Caro
9%
roon
Resolved
N/A
Pope Francis

When and if the above question resolves to an individual who is also an answer to this question, that answer resolves to YES and all other pending answers resolve to N/A.

When and if the above question resolves otherwise, all pending answers to the question resolve to N/A.

When and if an individual who is an answer to this question appears on the Dwarkesh Podcast, but the above question does not resolve to them, that answer resolves to NO.

Please only add individuals who have not yet appeared on the podcast.

Market context
Dwarkesh Patel
Podcasts
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bought Ṁ10 YES

rooncels rise up

What is the purpose of this?

@galaga joy

I mean the purpose that this market serves alongside that other very similar one

@galaga because whenever there is an episode people troll themselves buying up the person like satya recently so this kinda pre predicts whether those spikes should happen

@warty yes, and in particular it’s to prevent bettors losing lots of Mana in the heat of the moment

Sorry... can you explain how it would prevent the losses? If Satya were on this market, and people bet that up in the heat of the moment, and it turned out that he wasn't the biggest guest, Satya still resolves no (by the third clause) and people still lose the mana, right?

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