5% was crazily underpriced. Depends on resolution, of course, but saying "I will not sign another Ukraine aid bill" is ending the war.

@b575 this will be decided by the creator but to interpret "taking an action that eventually leads to resource constraints that force one side to the bargaining table" as a day 1 action to "end the war" would be pretty nuts imo.

this is about direct actions he can take, not attributing causality for (complex, multicausal) future events to the day 1 actions that may have influenced them. if trump gets on the phone with putin/zelensky and negotiates the end to the war on day 1, that resolves YES.

@Ziddletwix I mean, yes, if it merely led to resource constraints it wouldn't qualify. But I predict that's not what will happen.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/biden-first-day-in-office-eo-2-SgWyvMIdQ4Guj0y17x646A

Basically this list in reverse

@Quillist If Jack Smith resigns before Trump takes office, would this resolve NO or N/A? I think it should be NO.

edit: I need to slow down and read. From your other comment, I take it this would resolve N/A.

@VandelayIndustries https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/special-counsel-jack-smith-team-resign-trump-takes-office-rcna179928 well on that note:

Special counsel Jack Smith and his team to resign before Trump takes office

Special counsel Jack Smith and his team plan to resign before Donald Trump takes office, with two outstanding criminal cases against the president-elect now upended by the election.

@Quillist resolves N/A if one is in place before he is elected; same goes for other markets

incentive not insensitive

@AlexMiller3a5e how incentive of you to point that out smh