Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?
20
100Ṁ572
2027
67%
chance
12

Will he die, specifically because of prostate cancer, by the end of 2027? If he dies of a combination of factors including prostate cancer, resolves YES.

  • Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to death, the market resolves YES. This includes cases where prostate cancer or its treatment causes increased susceptibility to another condition that is the immediate cause of death.

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Is the market about the very specific cause of death or if Biden survives cancer?

Lots of times very sick people die of issues that were able to get a hold because of the main sickness. My grandma was in the ICU with a really bad stroke, got pneumonia and died of pneumonia. However, I'd argue the root cause ultimately was the stroke which massively weakened her and got her to the ICU. In the case of cancer some patients die from the treatment. Very aggressive cancer sometimes gets tested with very aggressive chemo or radiation.

How would this resolve in such cases?.

@AlexanderTheGreater I'd say it would resolve YES in this case, since the stroke caused her to be far more susceptible to pneumonia, thus it was a major contributing factor.

Pfff, that's a pretty specific cause of death, 54% is way too hi- (sees headlines) Wait, what the? What the fuck? Holy shit, it's in his BONES? Fuck, he's screwed man, he was bad but nobody deserves that 😥

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