When will Joe Biden die?
9
221
Ṁ632Ṁ575
2030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.8%
Before 2024
5%
Before the 2024 US presidential election
3%
In 2024, but after the US presidential election
9%
Before 2026
10%
Before 2027
31%
Before 2030
41%
Not by 2030
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office. If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82. There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia. On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
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https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html#fn1
If I'm reading this table correctly, an 82 y/o male has a 7.9691% chance of dying before their 83rd birthday, and a term life expectancy of 6.77 years, so death date ~July 2030ish.
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