When will Joe Biden die?
Mini
11
787
2030
0.7%
Before 2024
5%
Before the 2024 US presidential election
3%
In 2024, but after the US presidential election
9%
Before 2026
13%
Before 2027
31%
Before 2030
39%
Not by 2030

Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office. If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82. There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia. On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":

https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e

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https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html#fn1

If I'm reading this table correctly, an 82 y/o male has a 7.9691% chance of dying before their 83rd birthday, and a term life expectancy of 6.77 years, so death date ~July 2030ish.

not by 2030? but this man's a fossil