Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the final number of seats won by Pauline Hanson's One Nation (PHON) in the Australian House of Representatives at the next federal election. The result will be determined by the official seat count published by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) following the conclusion of the election.

If the election results in no seats being won by PHON in the House of Representatives, the market will resolve to 0. This market specifically refers to the House of Representatives and does not include seats in the Australian Senate.

Background

Pauline Hanson's One Nation (PHON) is an Australian right-wing populist political party founded by Pauline Hanson in 1997. Historically, the party has primarily held representation in the Australian Senate rather than the House of Representatives.

As of May 2026, PHON maintains a presence in the federal parliament, and its electoral performance remains a subject of public polling and political analysis. Traders should note that while PHON often contests a large number of seats across Australia, its success in winning individual divisions in the House of Representatives has historically been limited compared to its Senate performance. Official results can be tracked via the Australian Electoral Commission website (aec.gov.au) once the election concludes.

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