The Supreme Court of the United States struck down states’ same-sex marriage bans in 2015, with the opinion that matrimony is a fundamental right guaranteed to that segment of society in the Obergefell v. Hodges case decision. Nonetheless, justice Samuel Alito’s opinion draft against the legality of Roe vs. Wade case’s landmark decision (related to abortion rights), leaked in May 2022, raised concerns to observers regarding the revision of this and other topics that might impact civil rights in the US.

If, by June 1st, 2023, the justices of the US Supreme Court issue the opinion that Obergefell v. Hodgens case’s decision goes against the Constitution, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”. The opinion issued by the court must necessarily reverse key effects of the 2015 decision in order to resolve this market as “Yes”.