Which AI will perform best in the Humans v Bots Battle 2024?
8
125
Ṁ66Ṁ215
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Manifold is running Human v Bots Battle 2024, where humans (and user-made bots) can compete against each other and 3 AI bots @ChatGPTBot , @GeminiProBot and @ClaudePlusWeb.
See Manifold's announcement: https://news.manifold.markets/p/human-v-bots-forecasting-tournament
See the current standings: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards?topic=forecaster-bot-war
This questions only considers the AIs presented in the official announcement, to trade on the overall winner see this question:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
Will AutoGPT-style AI Agents mostly work before the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark in 2024?
20% chance
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
8% chance
When will self-improving AI outperform human-developed AI?
2030
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
When will AI be better than humans at AI research? (Basically AGI)
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
63% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
49% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
17% chance