GPUs "piling up" by the end of the year?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.3kDec 31
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon claims that people will "start getting to the point where they can’t turn the chips on for large clusters towards the end of this year. The chips are going to be piling up and won’t be able to be turned on."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@LarsOsborne Interesting, I didn't know!
Counterpoint:
https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/is-almost-everyone-wrong-about-americas-ai-power-problem
(From the ACX links)
People are also trading
Related questions
By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
53% chance
When will a single-unit GPU with 80GB of VRAM cost less to buy than the average American's weekly earnings?
At any point of time in 2027 a single consumer-grade GPU hits a MSRP of $20,000 USD
15% chance
Before 2028, will a GPU the same or smaller die size as b100 achieve 2x or better max throughput on GPT-oss-120b?
50% chance
Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030
60% chance
how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026
430k
Will any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?
38% chance
Will they tax GPUs?
58% chance