When will a single-unit GPU with 80GB of VRAM cost less to buy than the average American's weekly earnings?
14
Ṁ1kṀ6122041
10%
2024
24%
2025
34%
2026
66%
2027
69%
2028
68%
2029
71%
2030
71%
2031-2035
72%
2036-2040
54%
2041 or later/Never
Will use US Bureau of Labor Statistics estimate of average weekly earnings for resolution. All years later than the first year the question is true will also resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
At any point of time in 2027 a single consumer-grade GPU hits a MSRP of $20,000 USD
15% chance
Nvidia below $140 by March 2026?
13% chance
Will 16GB DDR5 RAM 30-day average price drop below 90$ before July 2026?
10% chance
By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
53% chance
Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030
60% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Nvidia stock at $100 or below by 2028
18% chance