What is the discount rate on Manifold's Mana? (Part 2)
9
1kṀ15632027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
42%
2.0%-3.0%
40%
1.0%-2.0%
35%
<1.0%
6%
>3.0%
Mannifold suffers from a problem that long term bets are not profitable due to the time of payout. To try to combat that, they recently implemented a loan feature that allows 1.5% loaned per day, on all positions on collateral.
I want to test if that loan feature is working. If it's working, Mannifold should have a very low discount rate, as this is free money.
Will resolve per data taken from the below market, using an average of data taken from 6/30/25, 12/31/25, 6/30/26, which I will annualize (per year interest rate). Adjustments will be made accordingly for figures maxing out at 99%.
Please see Part 1:
https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/what-is-the-discount-rate-on-manifo-hC5yItnNgS
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