Pat and I both ask the same question on our Manifold Survey:
What's your gender?
Male
Female
Non binary
Other
Treating these as four categories for the purpose of a diversity index calculation, which of our surveys will have the highest true diversity of order 2? This is equal to the reciprocal of the Simpson index, which is the weighted arithmetic mean of the proportion of respondents who select each option, with the weights being the proportions themselves.
This is also equivalent to asking for which survey the probability that two random respondents have different genders is higher.
See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.
The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9
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The market was right on this one. Pat's survey had a true diversity of 1.95, but mine only had 1.41.
https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-1-rationalists
@JosephNoonan my survey prob overrepresented gender diversity on Manifold bc of /Stralor/survey-are-there-more-than-10-women
@Stralor True, but /JosephNoonan/is-manifold-just-a-bunch-of-white-g may have done something similar for me.
@Shump I just realized it might have done that just because I put a limit order that got fulfilled immediately. Hmm...