Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?
68
242
แน€1k
2061
13%
chance

Resolves YES if Elon Musk steps onto the surface of Mars and NO if he dies without ever doing so.

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opened a แน€200 YES at 10% order
predicts NO

The man is currently 52. It'll be at least a decade (probably 2) before any human sets foot on Mars let alone "regular" people. It'll be an extraordinarily uncomfortable journey, for which you'll need to be in absolute peak physical condition. Elon is a billionaire. He doesn't want to spend his golden years confined to a couple dozen cubic square feet eating protein packets on an exercise bike and peeing into a hose. He hasn't even been to low Earth orbit yet! Trust me, he doesn't want to go.

@NateBaer Yeah, I'm surprised the market is giving this one more than 20%, I thought it would settle lower than that.

@NateBaer "He doesn't want to spend his golden years confined to a couple dozen cubic square feet eating protein packets on an exercise bike and peeing into a hose."

That sounds exactly like the type of thing musk would like to do!

What if he dies on impact?

@DarrylDaytona That wouldn't count

predicts NO

@DarrylDaytona crashing != Stepping?

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