Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
➕
Plus
26
Ṁ8167
Dec 1
2%
chance

Will any Senate seat held by a Republican before the 2024 elections be won by a Democrat?

See also: /JosephNoonan/will-any-senate-seat-flip-to-the-re

/JosephNoonan/will-any-independent-or-thirdparty

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ3,000 NO

Resolves to NO. Only Senate races left to be called had Dem (or Independent) incumbents.

Which seat are people expecting to flip? The only plausible ones are Texas and Florida, unless a Democrat gets replaced by a Republican before the election, or Kyrsten Sinema joins the Republican Party.

@JosephNoonan My guess is that people haven't read the description and are assuming that a Democrat winning AZ counts as "flipping" it.

predicts NO

@evergreenemily Good point, I changed the title to make it clearer.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules