Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio, U.S. Secretary of State, visits Greenland before January 1, 2027. Resolution will be confirmed through official statements from the U.S. State Department, Greenlandic government, or credible news reports documenting his physical presence in Greenland. The visit must occur before the end of 2026.

Background

Rubio plans to meet with Danish officials to discuss U.S. interest in Greenland, following requests from Denmark's Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen and Greenland's Foreign Minister Vivian Motzfeldt. Trump appointed Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry as a special envoy to Greenland, and Vice President JD Vance visited a U.S. military base in Greenland in 2025. Greenland's prime minister has consistently rejected the idea of U.S. acquisition, reiterating that their "country is not for sale".

Considerations

Rubio announced a meeting would happen the following week without giving details about timing, location or participants. While Rubio has committed to meeting with Danish and Greenlandic officials, he has not explicitly stated whether these meetings will take place in Greenland itself or elsewhere (such as Brussels or Copenhagen). The distinction matters for this market's resolution.