Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
5
Ṁ500Ṁ3k2031
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear weapon and then pre-emptively nukes Israel, without Israel first nuking Iran.
Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.
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