What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
49
1kṀ66k2100
25%
chance
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Conditional on more than 1,000 persons conceived through cloning from John von Neumann's genome reaching age 20 or older by 2100, this question resolves PROB, where PROB is the proportion of persons conceived through cloning from John von Neumann age 20 or older who, in a survey, identify as LGBTQ+. This survey will be conducted as soon as possible once there are more than 1,000 such persons, and will aim to contact all such persons (though some amount of nonresponse is inevitable).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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