This market will make more sense if you read @PeterBerggren's market first.
Once there are more than 1,000 persons conceived through cloning from John von Neumann's genome reaching age 20 or older, we will conduct a survey asking them and a control group (sampled from the general population age 20 or older) whether they identify as LGBTQ+.
This question resolves YES if the LGBTQ+ rate is higher among the John von Neumann clones.
This question resolves NO if the LGBTQ+ rate is higher in the control group.
If there are fewer than 1000 John von Neumann clones when this market closes, I will either move the close date or resolve N/A or MKT.
Sep 18, 2:00pm: Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population? → Will John von Neumann clones be more likely identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
Sep 18, 2:01pm: Will John von Neumann clones be more likely identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population? → Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?