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MANIFOLD
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
36
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k
2027
23%
chance

Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT. Since polling began, Americans' self-identification as LGBT has risen from 3.5% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2022.

In the last three years, polling results were published in articles on Gallup's website the February after the year in-question (2020, 2021, 2022).

Polling temporarily lapsed in 2018 and 2019. If Gallup does not publish anything on this question for all of the next 3 years, this question resolves N/A. So long as at least 1 of the next 3 years has directly comparable data, this question resolves YES if any of Gallup's polling shows that 10% or more of Americans identify as LGBT.

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