
Will a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?
23
1kṀ6672030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A democratic election can count as a revolution.
The new government must be widely recognized as socializing the means of production.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@TheAllMemeingEye democratic counts as long as the new government is widely recognized as socializing the means of production.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
26% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
59% chance
Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?
21% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
42% chance
Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?
7% chance
Russia attacks NATO by 2030?
24% chance
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?
14% chance
Will a socialist be elected president by 2040?
36% chance