Will Academic Capture Become a Topic of 5X Interest Than Baseline by Year End 2033?
Basic
4
Ṁ1002034
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@duck_master Baseline was intended to be the date of market creation.
https://manifold.markets/api/v0/slug/will-academic-capture-become-a-topi
"createdTime":1684970270515,Assuming that this timestamp is in milliseconds:
GMT: Wednesday, May 24, 2023 11:17:50.515 PM
So baseline for that year, 2023.
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI score over 30% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
19% chance
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
32% chance
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
35% chance
Will Sparse Autoencoders be successfully used on a downstream task in the next year and beat baselines?
75% chance
Will I be able to filter questions by multiple Topics before end of Q1 2025?
42% chance
Will interest in DeepMind overtake OpenAI at any point before 2025?
24% chance
Will Mini be cited in an academic journal by 2025?
36% chance
Will mainstream science be using primarily Bayesian analysis by 2035?
34% chance
Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
39% chance
Will a new study on ATCOR be published that my econ friends think is of good quality, before 2025?
49% chance