MANIFOLD
What % will the Project 2025 tracker be at in 2025?
14
Ṁ150Ṁ891
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
~55.0 percent
Resolved
YES
Above 40%
Resolved
YES
Above 50%
Resolved
NO
Above 60%
Resolved
NO
Above 70%
Resolved
NO
Above 80%
Resolved
NO
Above 90%

Resolves according to the Project 2025 Tracker.

As of today (2/27/25), the tracker is at 36%. How much of Project 2025 will get done by 2026? Resolves as thresholds are reached.

  • Update 2025-12-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The tracker's calculation method counts done = 100% and in progress = 50%. The current value is 50.01%, so the 50% threshold will resolve to YES.

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It's at 50% (technically 50.01%). Resolving 60+ to NO.

With less than 2 weeks to go, It's at 50%.

sold Ṁ3 YES

@Marnix since you haven't resolved it yet I'm assuming "above 50%" is "51% or higher"?

@tobiasscheuer I figured it was rounding up, but I just checked - by their calculation method (apparently "done = 100%, in progress = 50%"), it's currently at 50.01%. I'll resolve 50% to yes.

reposted

With 3 months to go, it's sitting (fairly stagnantly, I might add) at 47%.

@Marnix With one month (and change), it's at 48%.

Arbitrage opportunity below. In fairness, somebody pointed to this market in my market's comments too.

I imagine they have this dashboard set up on a huge screen at the Heritage Foundation office.

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