Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Plus
24
Ṁ9722027
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trading - not market creation. Does not include people who were already thought leaders before having a trading record.
Thought leaders could roughly be approximated as having regular influence over thoughts of 5k+ individuals. I'm ok with approximating this by followers on a social media platform.
I might not be proactively looking for these individuals - examples will need to be raised in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will this market get at least X traders before 2025?
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
34% chance
Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
63% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 500 members by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 250 members by the end of 2024?
40% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 1000 members by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will X implement a prediction markets feature before 2025?
17% chance