
Lex Fridman Will Result in an "Eternal September Effect," for Manifold Markets
13
290Ṁ993resolved Jan 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market designed to close early. Will resolve to consensus in comments.
Open to closing market early while resolving late to keep the bet as novel as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ28 | |
2 | Ṁ22 | |
3 | Ṁ11 | |
4 | Ṁ9 | |
5 | Ṁ7 |
People are also trading
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets?
82% chance
Will any Manifold founder go on the Lex Fridman podcast before 2026?
25% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
63% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?
15% chance
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
28% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
85% chance
Lex Fridman Stock
Ṁ428
Lex Fridman Stock
Ṁ215
Sort by:
There seemed to be no boost in usership at all from this user based upon Leaderboards, so by default this means that the causative question could not have occured.
Things are still high quality, and to the extent there has been an influx it doesn't seem like Lex is the cause.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets?
82% chance
Will any Manifold founder go on the Lex Fridman podcast before 2026?
25% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
63% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?
15% chance
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
28% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
85% chance
Lex Fridman Stock
Ṁ428
Lex Fridman Stock
Ṁ215