With SweetGreen, AT&T, and Amazon boosting mandates in 2025, it looks like there is continued momentum for RTO. There are also various initiatives for US government employees to return to the office.
The Current Population Survey estimated in for the year 2023 that roughly 10% of workers were working fully remotely and roughly 10% were working in a hybrid model. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/08/business/economy/remote-work-home.html
This question resolves yes if a reliable sources agree that less than 10 percent of US workers are working hybrid or fully remote in 2025. Resolution will be up to my own discretion, but I will be open to discussion about how to resolve.
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): The market will resolve YES if there is a 50% drop in relative percentage terms from the 2023 level of remote/hybrid workers (which was approximately 20% combined). (AI summary of creator comment)
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@DiegoZamalloaChion yes. A 50% drop in relative percentage terms from the 2023 level would result in a yes resolution
There's going to be a set of companies that view remote work as an advantage. Talent acquisition, employee retention, lower salaries, etc. They'll acknowledge the downsides, but make it work because there are upsides for the company, not just for the employees.
Question is really, will that set of companies grow or shrink? I'm bullish on grow.
Still a lot of negative sentiment around the idea from workers and research directed to employers suggesting it's a bad idea in many cases: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5031481