The most recent confirmed kill by the National Guard was on June 1st, 2020. Any confirmed kill by an on-duty National Guardsman between the creation of this market and its resolution time will count for Yes. The kill does not have to have any particular political valence, nor does it have to be of a United States citizen. The killer does have to be serving actively when they take the action that causes the victim's death.

That said, the death does not have to be immediate; if the victim dies a few days later at a hospital due to complications from being shot, that will count for Yes even if there are comorbidities with heart disease or some similar edge case. The spirit of this market is about the National Guard's use in repressing and controlling people in American towns and cities. So a NG vehicle accidentally killing a pedestrian on a highway during normal logistical movement would not count, but a NG vehicle running down protestors in Baltimore would.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.

• Update 2025-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Does not need to be on U.S. soil.

  • The killing must be part of actions to repress Americans.

  • Does not count: foreign operations unrelated to repressing Americans (e.g., against drug cartels abroad).

  • Would count: a cross-border incident directly tied to repressing people from an American town (e.g., pursuit just past the border).