Will a company from a NATO country build a tank in Ukraine by 2026?
3
18
αΉ43αΉ110
2025
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are reports that the German defense company Rheinmetall is negotiating the construction of a tank factory within Ukraine. It is reported to have received a go-ahead from German authorities for a joint venture with a Ukrainan company; the plan is said to be repairs first and production in Ukraine later on, possible of Fuchs APCs or Panther MBTs.
This market resolves yes if Rheinmetall or any other company from a NATO country is reported by credible sources to have produced a military vehicle in Ukraine by the end of 2025. The vehicle has to be intended for active combat use, so e.g. battle tanks or armored personnell carriers, but not ambulances or military trucks.
See also:
Get αΉ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?
6% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?
19% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
21% chance
By the end of 2024, how many NATO countries will officially send their soldiers to fight in Ukraine?
2
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
34% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
35% chance
Will any country admit to sending troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
27% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
33% chance