What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?
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23
Ṁ490
2025
18%
chance

The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the AFD receive?

The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.

See also:


Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm

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Thanks for making all of these! Do you also plan to create a market on the left party (die Linke)?

@nebelkugel Sure. Here you go:

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