What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?
Plus
26
Ṁ5952025
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the AFD receive?
The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.
See also:
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
64% chance
Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?
2% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
43% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
81% chance
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
17% chance
What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU receive in the next German federal election?
33% chance
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
13% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?