Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? [Top 5 candidates, new market style]
43
Ṁ1kṀ13kresolved Nov 9
100%99.0%
Donald Trump
0.5%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Ron DeSantis
0.1%
Gavin Newsom
0.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.3%
Someone else
For simplicity, resolves based on Wikipedia.
This question has a list of the current top 5 candidates according to https://electionbettingodds.com/, and resolves to "Someone else" if the winner is anyone else.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@PC Wikipedia lists a Trump victory on that page:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election
Edit: Nevermind thought this was a newer market
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