Who will be at the top of Rejuvenation Olympics by the end of 2025?
Who will be at the top of Rejuvenation Olympics by the end of 2025?
6
400Ṁ2052026
43%
5%
Bryan Johnson
12%
Sarah hsu
12%
Priyanka Patel
13%
Julie Gibson Clark
14%
Amy Hardison
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
12% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
37% chance
Will someone win the Healthspan XPRIZE of 101m restoring muscle, cognition, immune function by minimum 10yrs by 2030?
28% chance
Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
22% chance
Will there be a "Doping-Allowed Olympics" by 2050?
45% chance
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2035?
9% chance
Which city will have the highest Champ score at the end of 2025?
👟Which athletes will still be competing at a similar level or higher at EOY 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will I be alive at the end of 2025?
99% chance
By the end of 2053, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
64% chance