"The Coffee Test" is an alternative to Turing test proposed by Steve Wozniak. It goes as follows:

A machine is required to enter an average American home and figure out how to make coffee: find the coffee machine, find the coffee, add water, find a mug, and brew the coffee by pushing the proper buttons. This has not yet been completed.

The test has to be repeated several times under independent control. (I.e. self-published video by Boston Dynamics is not enough.) The success rate has to be at least 50% out of at least 3 attempts in different houses.

The market will be resolved positively after a month has passed since the successful demonstration to give some time to uncover possible cheating.

Related question with a different time scale:

/MatthewBarnett/will-a-robot-be-created-that-is-cap

I do not bet on my own questions.