Will the US give military support to Russia in 2025
19
200Ṁ882
Dec 31
8%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if, before the market close date, the United States government officially provides military support directly to Russia. Military support includes:

  • Weapons systems or ammunition

  • Military vehicles or aircraft

  • Military personnel for combat operations

  • Direct military funding explicitly for Russia's armed forces

  • Military intelligence

The market resolves to NO if:

  • No such military support is provided by the U.S. to Russia before the market close date

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Weapons Transactions:

    • Both direct sales (where the U.S. government sells military equipment) and providing military equipment for free count as providing support.

Contractor Involvement:

  • Allowing U.S.-based major military contractors to sell military equipment to Russia is considered military support.

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