Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033
20
1kṀ4552032
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes if the Liaoning sinks or is otherwise crippled/rendered permanently inoperable before 2033
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will any navy ship of more than 2,000 tonnes be sunk in ship-to-ship combat before 2036?
31% chance
Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
42% chance
Will China collapse before 2030
10% chance
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
57% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
20% chance
Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?
13% chance
Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?
35% chance
Will a Chinese navy or coast guard ship sink a Filipino navy or coast guard ship before 2027?
34% chance
Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?
10% chance