Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
5
90Ṁ57
2036
46%
chance

'Aircraft carrier' is defined as a ship which operates manned fixed-wing aircraft.

'Lost at sea' is defined as an unintentional sinking, potentially due to hostile action but potentially due to bad weather or poor maintenance/accidents.

Note that some of the ships in this list do not meet the criteria of operating manned fixed-wing aircraft.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_aircraft_carriers_in_service

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